SMT Advanced NQ #03
lb3 · 09:30-10:30 · stop 100 / target 250 pts
Setup KNOBS
| Trial | lb3_one_s09301030_st100tp250_ms1.5_be1_tr0.0_nohtf |
| Pivot lookback | 3 |
| Session window (ET) | 09:30-10:30 |
| Stop / target | 100 / 250 NQ points |
| Min confluence score | 1.5 |
| Breakeven | at 1R |
| Trades per day | 1 |
| Trail / HTF filter | trail off · HTF bias off |
| Comparison symbols | ES / YM (either) · candle validation on |
Curve summary FROM TRADES.CSV
| Final net | +4,150 pts |
| Max drawdown (closed-trade) | 1,100 pts |
| Shape | choppy (R² 0.876, largest win +250 pts) |
| Longest losing streak | 6 trades |
| Top-5-trade share | 11.1% of gross profit · 30.1% of final net |
Curve summary is computed from trades.csv (closed trades, in order). Max DD = largest peak-to-trough of the closed-trade equity. Shape rule: one-trade-dominated if the largest win is ≥ 40% of final net; steady if R² of the equity curve ≥ 0.90 and max DD ≤ 25% of final net; otherwise choppy; a curve with final net ≤ 0 is marked losing. Top-5 share = five biggest winners as % of gross profit (and of final net when net is positive).
Cross-check vs summary.json: all match (trades 157, net +4150, PF 1.58, WR 28.7%, max DD 1100). Trade dates come from mapping entry/exit bar indexes onto primary_nq.csv.
Out-of-sample WALK-FORWARD
| OOS result | -600 pts FAILS OOS (−600 pts) |
| OOS trades · PF · WR | 64 · 0.81 · 15.6% |
| OOS max DD | 1100 pts |
| Split | in-sample 189,329 bars · OOS 126,220 bars (OOS from 2026-02-03) |
Data gaps SCAN
Data gaps: 12 weekday(s) without bars, 55 short day(s), 200 intraday hole(s) > 30 min — scanned primary_nq.csv (NQ 1m, inner-joined with ES/YM) over 2025-07-01 → 2026-06-12 ET: missing weekdays 2025-09-15, 2025-09-16, 2025-09-17, 2025-09-18, 2025-09-19, 2025-09-22, 2025-09-23, 2025-09-24, 2025-09-25, 2025-09-26, 2025-09-29, 2026-01-01
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